Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS51 KALY 161847
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Windy and cold conditions are expected for most today into
Monday, along with lake effect and upslope snow showers. The
heaviest snows are expected across the western and southern
Adirondacks and southern Greens, where winter weather headlines
are in effect. High pressure brings dry and milder conditions
for the middle of the week, with our next chance of
precipitation arriving for the end of the work week.

NYZ206-170900-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow         Snow/Fz Ra   Snow/Fz Ra   None
Chance Precip (%)     60           60           20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      19 (-12)     32 (-5)      19           35
RH % (24H Trend)      97 (-3)      65 (-14)     97           61
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW 10 G34                 W  6 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW 12 G41    W  9 G34     W  8 G25     W  6 G21
Precip Amount         0.09         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       7            2            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3980                      4110
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 25                     W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  87560                     69870
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            7            6            9
Max LVORI late        7            5            7            5

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-170900-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Snow         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     10           0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      23 (-9)      39 (-4)      23           42
RH % (24H Trend)      78 (-22)     51 (-15)     83           50
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W 13 G34                  W  8 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W 13 G39     W 13 G34     W  9 G26     W  7 G21
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 PM
Precip End            6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4590                      4910
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 28                     NW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  110160                    88380
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            4            5
Max LVORI late        4            3            5            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-170900-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow/Fz Ra   None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     10           0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      25 (-12)     40 (-6)      25           43
RH % (24H Trend)      80 (-19)     48 (-14)     85           48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW 13 G36                 W  8 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W 13 G42     NW 13 G36    W  9 G28     W  7 G23
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 PM
Precip End            6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5800                      5170
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 32                     NW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  162400                    98230
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            4            5
Max LVORI late        4            3            5            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-170900-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow         Snow/Fz Ra   None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      22 (-13)     37 (-5)      23           40
RH % (24H Trend)      85 (-15)     53 (-11)     90           53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW 13 G41                 NW  8 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW 16 G47    NW 11 G41    NW 11 G32    NW  6 G25
Precip Amount         0.05         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4990                      4640
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 36                     NW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  154690                    88160
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       5            5            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-170900-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      22 (-11)     37 (-6)      23           40
RH % (24H Trend)      83 (-17)     52 (-20)     87           51
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W 14 G34                  W  8 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W 16 G37     W 13 G34     W 11 G29     W  8 G23
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 PM
Precip End            6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4690                      4920
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 28                     W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  112560                    98400
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            4            6
Max LVORI late        4            3            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-170900-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow/Fz Ra   None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      21 (-10)     34 (-7)      21           37
RH % (24H Trend)      88 (-12)     60 (-19)     88           59
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W 11 G37                  W  7 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W 14 G44     W  9 G37     W  8 G27     W  5 G25
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 PM
Precip End            6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4540                      4780
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 32                     NW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  127120                    105160
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            5            5            6
Max LVORI late        5            4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-170900-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Snow         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      24 (-10)     39 (-6)      25           41
RH % (24H Trend)      80 (-20)     50 (-20)     79           49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W  9 G36                  W  5 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W 10 G39     W  8 G36     W  7 G25     W  5 G23
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 PM
Precip End            2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4670                      4570
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 30                     NW 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  121420                    95970
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            4            4
Max LVORI late        4            3            4            3

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-170900-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      22 (-12)     35 (-8)      22           39
RH % (24H Trend)      83 (-16)     57 (-14)     86           53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W 18 G37                  W 12 G27
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W 18 G44     W 15 G37     W 14 G31     W  9 G27
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 PM
Precip End            6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4480                      4410
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 35                     NW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  134400                    97020
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            5            6
Max LVORI late        5            4            5            4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-170900-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      24 (-9)      38 (-8)      26           41
RH % (24H Trend)      81 (-19)     54 (-13)     83           53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW 14 G37                 W  9 G26
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W 16 G46     NW 13 G37    NW 10 G31    NW  7 G26
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 PM
Precip End            6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4850                      4720
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 36                     NW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  150350                    103840
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            4            5
Max LVORI late        4            3            5            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-170900-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      27 (-8)      39 (-9)      27           43
RH % (24H Trend)      75 (-25)     51 (-12)     80           51
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W 12 G35                  W  7 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W 14 G44     NW 12 G35    W  8 G27     NW  6 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5290                      4910
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 35                     NW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  158700                    98200
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            4            5
Max LVORI late        4            3            4            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-170900-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
146 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      29 (-8)      41 (-9)      28           44
RH % (24H Trend)      72 (-28)     49 (-11)     80           50
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W 14 G32                  W  7 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W 14 G40     NW 13 G32    W  9 G25     W  7 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5140                      4830
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 33                     NW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  149060                    86940
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            4            4            5
Max LVORI late        4            3            4            3

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Rain and a chance of freezing rain. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the upper 40s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$