Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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791
FNUS51 KALY 170702
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid today with a warm front tracking northward this
morning resulting in scattered showers and thunderstorms. After
a dry break late this morning into early afternoon, a cold front
will lead to additional scattered showers and storms this
afternoon and early evening with a marginal risk for severe
weather. Cooler and less humid conditions arrive in the wake of
the cold front for Friday into Saturday.

NYZ206-172000-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     80           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           40           0
Temp (24H Trend)      82 (-4)      50 (-16)     74
RH % (24H Trend)      71 (+20)     100 (+1)     43
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   N  5 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  9 G29    W 12 G33     Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.23         0.12         0.00
Precip Duration       6            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   12 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5030                      6610
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 22                     NW  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     95570                     39660
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            9            8
Max LVORI late        6            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-172000-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     80           60           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           0
Temp (24H Trend)      88 (-2)      57 (-12)     79
RH % (24H Trend)      62 (+14)     90 (-6)      41
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  S  6 G32                  N  7 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW 10 G32    W 12 G34     N  5 G23
Precip Amount         0.09         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       5            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   11 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5110                      7090
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 22                     NW  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     97090                     42540
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            6
Max LVORI late        4            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-172000-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     60           50           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           0
Temp (24H Trend)      91 (+1)      61 (-9)      80
RH % (24H Trend)      56 (-1)      90 (-7)      47
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  S  5 G31                  NW  7 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW 10 G31    W 11 G36     NW  5 G23
Precip Amount         0.07         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration       4            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5800                      6020
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 22                     NW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     110200                    48160
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-172000-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     70           50           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           0
Temp (24H Trend)      87 (+2)      55 (-12)     77
RH % (24H Trend)      61 (-2)      96 (-3)      48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  SW  5 G26                 NW  7 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  9 G26    W 10 G26     N  5 G25
Precip Amount         0.10         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       4            0
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5270                      5530
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 24                      NW  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     110670                    33180
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            7
Max LVORI late        5            7            3

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-172000-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     70           80           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 70           70           0
Temp (24H Trend)      86 (-3)      56 (-12)     75
RH % (24H Trend)      64 (+18)     94 (-1)      46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  S  5 G24                  NW  7 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  9 G24    W 11 G29     NW  5 G23
Precip Amount         0.12         0.07         0.00
Precip Duration       5            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4830                      4770
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20                     N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     82110                     57240
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            7            7
Max LVORI late        4            7            3

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-172000-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     70           70           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           70           0
Temp (24H Trend)      84 (-2)      55 (-11)     74
RH % (24H Trend)      70 (+18)     97 (-2)      46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NW  7 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  8 G23    W 11 G31     Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.12         0.07         0.00
Precip Duration       4            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4820                      5120
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 22                     N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     91580                     51200
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            7            7
Max LVORI late        5            8            3

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-172000-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     70           70           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           70           0
Temp (24H Trend)      88 (-3)      60 (-8)      78
RH % (24H Trend)      63 (+18)     88 (-12)     42
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NW  6 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  8 G21    W  9 G27     Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.08         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       4            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4660                      5580
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20                     NW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     79220                     55800
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           6            6
Max LVORI late        4            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-172000-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     60           60           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           0
Temp (24H Trend)      87 (-1)      58 (-10)     76
RH % (24H Trend)      61 (+11)     91 (-4)      44
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  SW  6 G27                 NW 10 G26
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW 10 G27    W 13 G34     NW  7 G26
Precip Amount         0.10         0.08         0.00
Precip Duration       3            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4510                      4690
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20                     NW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76670                     46900
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            6            6
Max LVORI late        4            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-172000-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     60           50           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           0
Temp (24H Trend)      89 (0)       60 (-9)      77
RH % (24H Trend)      60 (+4)      91 (-7)      46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  SW  5 G26                 NW  9 G26
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW 10 G26    W 10 G31     NW  6 G26
Precip Amount         0.11         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration       3            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4590                      4840
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 21                     NW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     82620                     48400
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            6
Max LVORI late        4            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-172000-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     50           50           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           0
Temp (24H Trend)      89 (0)       62 (-9)      79
RH % (24H Trend)      61 (0)       87 (-13)     48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  SW  5 G26                 NW  9 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW 10 G26    W 10 G26     NW  6 G25
Precip Amount         0.06         0.01         0.00
Precip Duration       2            0
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4680                      5020
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 22                     NW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     88920                     45180
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           4            6
Max LVORI late        4            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-172000-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance Precip (%)     60           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           30           0
Temp (24H Trend)      91 (+2)      65 (-6)      79
RH % (24H Trend)      61 (-3)      85 (-15)     49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  SW  5 G27                 NW  8 G24
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW 11 G27    W 11 G26     NW  6 G24
Precip Amount         0.08         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration       3            0
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5300                      4860
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 21                      NW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     95400                     43740
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           4            6
Max LVORI late        4            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$