Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS51 KALY 231847
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Snow showers from a clipper disturbance today continues this
afternoon with lake effect and upslope enhancements in the
western/southern Adirondacks and southern Greens leading to
light snow accumulations this afternoon into tonight. We trend
milder tomorrow through Wednesday with rain showers Tuesday
afternoon into Wednesday before a more potent cold front marches
through Wednesday evening. This will result in colder and
windier conditions for the Thanksgiving holiday into the
weekend along with increasing confidence for accumulating lake
effect and upslope snow Thursday into Friday night.

NYZ206-240900-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           0            0            30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      27 (+9)      40 (+6)      25           44
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (0)      66 (-19)     99           66
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW  5 G18                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration       5                                      1
Precip Begin          6 PM                                   1 PM
Precip End            6 AM                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3380                      2070
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 15                      S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  43940                     22770
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            9            8            5
Max LVORI late        9            5            8            6

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-240900-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0            20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      28 (+7)      45 (+10)     26           47
RH % (24H Trend)      99 (+1)      56 (-17)     100          63
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W  5 G17                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  5 G17     Lgt/Var      S  5
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration       1                                      1
Precip Begin          6 PM                                   1 PM
Precip End            12 AM                                  Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4010                      2250
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 15                     S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  52130                     24750
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            8            9            7
Max LVORI late        8            4            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-240900-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     10           0            0            40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      30 (+7)      47 (+7)      28           48
RH % (24H Trend)      98 (+1)      51 (-16)     98           63
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW  6 G20                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration       1                                      2
Precip Begin          6 PM                                   1 PM
Precip End            12 AM                                  Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4010                      2570
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 17                     S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  60150                     35980
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            8            8            6
Max LVORI late        7            4            8            5

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-240900-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0            60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      28 (+6)      44 (+6)      27           46
RH % (24H Trend)      96 (+1)      52 (-18)     89           63
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW  6 G25                 SW  5
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W  6 G25     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.10
Precip Duration       1                                      4
Precip Begin          6 PM                                   1 PM
Precip End            1 AM                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3460                      2590
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 16                     SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  48440                     38850
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            7            6            5
Max LVORI late        6            4            6            6

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-240900-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            0            20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      29 (+7)      43 (+7)      26           48
RH % (24H Trend)      98 (+3)      59 (-6)      96           58
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W  5 G18                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      W  5 G18     Lgt/Var      S  5
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip Duration       2                                      1
Precip Begin          6 PM                                   1 PM
Precip End            6 AM                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3800                      2560
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 16                      SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  53200                     30720
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            9            8            4
Max LVORI late        8            4            8            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-240900-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0            20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      27 (+7)      40 (+7)      25           46
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+4)     66 (-3)      97           64
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip Duration       2                                      1
Precip Begin          6 PM                                   1 PM
Precip End            6 AM                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3650                      2470
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 18                     SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  58400                     32110
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            9            8            4
Max LVORI late        9            5            7            5

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-240900-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0            20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      27 (+5)      45 (+9)      26           47
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+4)     55 (-8)      100          63
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       0                                      1
Precip Begin          6 PM                                   1 PM
Precip End            9 PM                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4200                      2040
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 18                     SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  67200                     24480
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           9            7
Max LVORI late        9            4            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-240900-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0            30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      29 (+8)      42 (+6)      26           48
RH % (24H Trend)      98 (+4)      62 (0)       97           59
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW  8 G23                 SW  5 G17
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W  5 G21     NW  6 G23    Lgt/Var      S  5 G17
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.06
Precip Duration       2                                      1
Precip Begin          6 PM                                   1 PM
Precip End            5 AM                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3640                      2510
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 20                     SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  61880                     42670
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            8            8            5
Max LVORI late        8            4            8            4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-240900-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0            30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      30 (+8)      44 (+6)      28           48
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+4)     61 (-3)      99           61
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW  7 G23                 SW  5 G17
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      NW  5 G23    Lgt/Var      S  5 G17
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.07
Precip Duration       1                                      2
Precip Begin          6 PM                                   1 PM
Precip End            2 AM                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3590                      2260
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 21                     SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  64620                     36160
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            9            9            6
Max LVORI late        9            4            8            5

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-240900-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      31 (+7)      45 (+5)      29           49
RH % (24H Trend)      99 (+3)      58 (-5)      97           63
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW  7 G21                 SW  5 G17
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      NW  5 G21    Lgt/Var      S  5 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07
Precip Duration                                              2
Precip Begin                                                 1 PM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3640                      2360
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 21                     SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  65520                     37760
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            8            8            6
Max LVORI late        8            4            8            6

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-240900-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
146 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      31 (+6)      47 (+5)      30           51
RH % (24H Trend)      96 (0)       56 (-5)      94           66
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               NW  7 G21                 SW  5 G17
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      NW  5 G21    Lgt/Var      S  6 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration                                              2
Precip Begin                                                 1 PM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3780                      2200
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 20                     SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  64260                     33000
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            8            8            6
Max LVORI late        7            4            8            6

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely and a chance of
snow. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the mid 30s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and freezing rain.
Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$