Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
389
FNUS51 KALY 161946
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Dangerous heat and humidity today into tomorrow with a warm
front tracking northward tonight into early tomorrow resulting
in scattered showers and thunderstorms. After a dry break late
morning into early afternoon, a cold front will lead to additional
scattered showers and storms tomorrow afternoon into the evening
with a marginal risk for severe weather. Then, we turn cooler
and less humid Friday into Saturday.
NYZ206-170815-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 60 60 50 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 50 0
Temp (24H Trend) 65 (+4) 83 (-4) 51 75
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+3) 70 (+19) 100 46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 6 G21 W 5 G20 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.06 0.18 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 3 4 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4670 6310
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 24 NW 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 98070 37860
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 10 9 8
Max LVORI late 9 5 9 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ207-170815-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 60 50 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 40 50 50 0
Temp (24H Trend) 69 (+6) 88 (-3) 59 79
RH % (24H Trend) 98 (+1) 61 (+12) 93 45
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 5 G20 NW 6 G18
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G20 W 7 G20 N 5 G18
Precip Amount 0.03 0.14 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 1 4 1
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5090 6500
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 21 N 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 91620 52000
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 5 9 7 6
Max LVORI late 8 4 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ208-170815-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 50 60 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 40 0
Temp (24H Trend) 68 (+1) 90 (0) 62 80
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+2) 58 (-1) 93 51
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 5 G19 NW 6 G19
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 6 G19 W 5 G19 N 6 G19
Precip Amount 0.07 0.12 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 3 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5540 6050
Transport Wnd (mph) W 20 N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 94180 54450
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 6 9 6 6
Max LVORI late 9 4 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ209-170815-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 50 60 50 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 50 0
Temp (24H Trend) 64 (-1) 87 (+2) 57 77
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+2) 60 (-2) 98 51
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var NW 6 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 6 G21 W 5 G20 N 5 G20
Precip Amount 0.07 0.13 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 2 3 1
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5300 5100
Transport Wnd (mph) W 23 NW 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 106000 35700
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 9 7 7
Max LVORI late 9 5 8 3
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ036-170815-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 40 0
Temp (24H Trend) 68 (+7) 86 (-2) 58 75
RH % (24H Trend) 98 (+1) 65 (+15) 98 50
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) S 5 G20 NW 6 G18
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 6 G20 W 6 G19 NW 5 G18
Precip Amount 0.03 0.23 0.05 0.00
Precip Duration 1 3 1
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4060 4400
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 N 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69020 57200
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 5 8 8 8
Max LVORI late 8 4 8 4
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ037-170815-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 20 60 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 40 0
Temp (24H Trend) 67 (+7) 84 (-2) 58 74
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+6) 64 (+11) 98 51
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var NW 5 G19
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.22 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 1 3 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3900 4810
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 21 N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 70200 48100
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 6 9 8 8
Max LVORI late 9 5 8 4
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ038-170815-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 20 60 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 20 0
Temp (24H Trend) 70 (+8) 88 (-2) 63 78
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+6) 61 (+9) 90 46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var NW 5 G19
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.01 0.13 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 0 5 1
Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3870 5290
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 NW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 58050 52900
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 6 10 7 6
Max LVORI late 9 4 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ001-170815-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 30 0
Temp (24H Trend) 68 (+6) 86 (-2) 60 76
RH % (24H Trend) 98 (-1) 62 (+11) 93 48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) SW 6 G20 NW 9 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G20 W 7 G21 NW 7 G21
Precip Amount 0.02 0.11 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 1 3 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 11 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3880 4300
Transport Wnd (mph) W 21 N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69840 43000
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 6 9 7 7
Max LVORI late 8 4 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ025-170815-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 20 0
Temp (24H Trend) 69 (+2) 88 (-1) 63 78
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+2) 60 (+4) 95 50
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) SW 5 G20 NW 7 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 6 G20 SW 5 G21 NW 6 G21
Precip Amount 0.01 0.17 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 1 3 0
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4300 4390
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 22 NW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 81700 39510
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 10 7 7
Max LVORI late 9 4 8 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ001-170815-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 70 (+1) 88 (0) 65 79
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+2) 58 (-5) 91 53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) SW 5 G20 NW 6 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 6 G20 SW 5 G19 NW 6 G21
Precip Amount 0.02 0.19 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 3
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4400 4570
Transport Wnd (mph) W 22 N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 83600 45700
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 10 6 6
Max LVORI late 9 4 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ013-170815-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
346 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 40 50 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 71 (+1) 90 (+1) 68 81
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+4) 58 (-9) 88 52
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var NW 6 G18
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var SW 7 G19 SW 5 G17 NW 6 G18
Precip Amount 0.02 0.09 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 3
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4780 4580
Transport Wnd (mph) W 21 N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 86040 45800
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 10 6 6
Max LVORI late 10 4 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$