Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS71 KALY 041306
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Big Bend Preserve - Brush Piles...NYS OPRHP
National Weather Service Albany NY
806 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EST on November 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

No fire weather concerns are expected through the weekend. High
pressure will be in control through today, as RH values gradually
increase to 50 to 60 percent this afternoon with southerly winds 5
to 10 mph with a few gusts 15 to 20 mph. A cold front brings
showers on Thursday with rainfall amounts mainly a tenth to a quarter of an inch across much of the region
with higher amounts in the southern/western ADKs. Breezy south to
southwest winds continue through Thursday. Additional rainfall is
possible for Friday into Saturday especially south and east of the
Capital Region, as low pressure tracks near the coast.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Dewpoint............53.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the afternoon
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (21300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  19  17  18  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  69  69  68  65
Dewpoint........52  53  53  54  54
RH..............59  57  57  61  68
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   3   2
20 FT wind gust.13  12  10  8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  7   7
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..21  21  20  6   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............53.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph after 3
                    am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft).
LVORI...............7.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56  62  58  57  68  47  49  67  61  73  74  85
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  59  59  59  58  57  56  56  55  55  55  54
Dewpoint........54  54  54  54  54  54  54  53  53  53  53  54
RH..............75  83  83  83  86  90  93  90  93  93  93  100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   9   10  9   10  9   9   9   9   9
LVORI...........4   6   6   6   6   7   8   7   8   8   8   10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   3   4   4   3   4   3   4   4   3   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent). Rain through the day.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........90 percent.
Dewpoint............57 increasing to 61 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (24000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............9.
Pcpn amount.........0.18 inches.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........98  98  94  91  100 100 90  89  89  80  83  67
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF CHC SCH SCH CHC SCH
Weather type....    RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  40  50  70  100 100 90  50  20  20  30  20
Temp............55  56  58  60  60  62  63  64  66  66  66  65
Dewpoint........55  56  58  59  60  61  62  62  63  63  63  62
RH..............100 100 100 96  100 97  97  93  90  90  90  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  13  15  16  17  17  18  18  18  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.4 1.2 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  12  15  14  16  16  12  14  12  9
LVORI...........10  10  10  9   10  9   9   8   7   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   4   11  13  18  18  24  23  12  17  12  4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...23
Requested by...Jen Selfridge
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2625190.0/ALY
.DELDT 11/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jennifer.selfridge@parks.ny.gov