140
FNUS71 KALY 251557
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Taconic Crest Trail Fire...DEC forest rangers
National Weather Service Albany NY
1157 AM EDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 EDT on October 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain in control through tonight. RH will
drop to minimum values of 30 to 35 percent this afternoon with
winds less than 10 mph. RH will recover to close to 100 percent
tonight with calm winds and frost or dew formation. A cold front
will move southeast across the region Monday afternoon into the
early evening. Minimum RH values will be higher than recent days
at 50 to 60 percent with a few northwest wind gusts of 15 to 20
mph. There continues to be high confidence that the dry stretch of
weather will continue through Thursday with only a low chance for
showers late in the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Dewpoint............31.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   4   5   3   3   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........                            BR CLR                25  24 057
M 250753 00000
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  55  58  59  60  56
Dewpoint........32  32  31  30  30  30
RH..............44  41  36  33  32  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   5   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.3 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   6   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8   9   10  11  7   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............31 increasing to 33 overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west
                    around 7 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   3   3   3   3   5   10  24  40  23  15  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  47  42  41  40  39  38  37  36  35  35  34
Dewpoint........29  31  31  32  32  33  34  32  32  32  33  32
RH..............41  53  65  70  73  79  85  82  85  89  92  92
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2   3   3   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   7   7   7   6   6   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........2   2   3   4   4   6   6   7   7   7   7   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Dewpoint............33 increasing to 44.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming west 6 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to around 22 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 16 mph increasing to 16 to 18 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (36200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  10  29  38  41  32  27  25  40  35  19  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............33  34  35  39  47  51  53  57  58  59  60  58
Dewpoint........32  33  34  34  37  38  39  43  43  44  44  45
RH..............96  96  96  82  68  61  59  59  57  57  55  62
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   6   7   8   9   9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   7   8   15  17  18  20  21  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.3 1.5
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   9   13  13  14  16  17  18  16
LVORI...........7   8   8   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   2   3   6   15  17  21  29  33  36  21
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...15/53
Requested by...Ranger C. Black
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2624508.0/ALY
.DELDT 10/25/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL corenne.black@dec.ny.gov,RayBrook.Dispatch@dec.ny.gov