Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS71 KALY 031158
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Cherry Plain Fire...NYSDEC Forest Rangers
National Weather Service Albany NY
658 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EST on November 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and mild weather is expected to continue across the region for
today. Afternoon RH values will be as low as 45 to 50 percent for
much of the region, although values will be slightly higher over
the Adirondacks and Upper Hudson Valley due to more cloud cover
further north. Southerly winds will be around 5 to 10 mph. RH looks to
recover back above 90 percent tonight with dew and fog formation.

On Wednesday, dry weather is expected once again. With higher
dewpoints around, RH values will only be as low as 45 to 55
percent across the region with continued light southerly winds.
Most areas will see a chance for some rain showers on Thursday,
although total rainfall will likely be under a quarter of an inch
for much of the region. Some more showers are possible for Friday
into Saturday, mainly for eastern parts of the region.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Dewpoint............43.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then becoming light late
                    in the afternoon becoming south around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (14300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  62  62  60  61  75  77  67  72  73  66
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............46  50  53  56  60  61  62  63  62  61  58
Dewpoint........42  43  44  44  43  43  43  44  44  44  43
RH..............86  77  71  64  53  51  50  50  52  53  57
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   3   5   5   5   5   5   3   5
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   6   8   9   10  9   9   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   7   8   9   9   10  9   8   9
LVORI...........8   6   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   3   4   8   12  12  14  10  4   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............43.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........58  54  25  36  37  25  18  19  19  12  21  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   10  10
Temp............55  53  53  52  51  51  50  50  50  49  48  47
Dewpoint........41  44  44  44  44  44  44  45  45  45  45  45
RH..............59  71  71  74  77  77  80  83  83  86  89  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  10  10  9   8
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   4   4   6   6   6   6   7   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   4   4   4   5   4   4   5   4   4   3   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Dewpoint............47 increasing to 50 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (24100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  34  60  50  43  36  43  44  33  24  23  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  47  50  56  59  63  65  67  67  66  65  62
Dewpoint........45  46  49  50  50  49  49  50  50  50  50  51
RH..............93  96  96  80  72  60  56  54  54  56  58  67
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   6   7   8   7   8   7   8
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   9   10  13  14  15  15  15  14  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.3 0.8
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   SW  S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  14  12  10
LVORI...........8   9   9   6   4   3   3   2   2   3   3   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   2   4   7   10  13  17  18  22  24  13  7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...7/27
Requested by...Corenne Black
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2624832.3/ALY
.DELDT 11/03/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.stratton@dec.ny.gov,raybrook.dispatch@dec.ny.gov,corenne.black@dec.ny.gov,steven.jackson@dec.ny.gov,Nathaniel.Laymon@dec.ny.gov