691
FNUS71 KALY 171048
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for APB P4 & P5 SOUTH...Albany Pine Bush
National Weather Service Albany NY
648 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will bring fair weather through Saturday, with
cool temperatures today warming to seasonable levels on
Saturday. A cold front approaching from the west will bring
increasing clouds Sunday, with showers developing Sunday night
and continuing into Monday. Temperatures will be above normal
ahead of the front on Sunday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Dewpoint............32 increasing to 35 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    north around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (40700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  11  6   7   15  17  13  13  14  28  12
Weather cov.....WID ARS
Weather type....FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............39  40  41  45  49  52  55  57  57  57  58
Dewpoint........30  31  31  32  33  33  33  34  34  34  35
RH..............70  70  67  60  54  48  43  42  42  42  42
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  12  13  13  14  15  15  13  13  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.7 3.9 4.1 3.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   8   9   12  12  12  13  12  12  10  8
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   4   6   20  25  30  40  39  41  34  13
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  PR  FR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy frost
                    overnight. Areas of frost after 3 am, then
                    widespread frost early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............35 decreasing to 32 early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18  21  25  24  20  22  18  15  20  21  20  29
Weather cov.....                                PTY ARS ARS WID
Weather type....                                FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  52  49  45  43  41  39  38  36  35  34  32
Dewpoint........36  37  36  36  36  36  35  35  35  34  34  32
RH..............47  56  61  70  76  82  85  89  96  96  100 100
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   5   6   6   5   6   5   5   5   3
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   4   6   6   7   9   9   10  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of frost
                    early in the morning, then widespread frost
                    early in the morning. Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Dewpoint............34 increasing to 39 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 2 to 3 mph shifting to the south 3 to
                    7 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  35  24  25  26  27  32  36  41  44  47  50
Weather cov.....ARS WID ARS
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............33  32  34  39  44  49  54  57  59  60  61  61
Dewpoint........33  32  34  36  38  39  39  39  39  40  40  41
RH..............100 100 100 89  79  68  57  51  47  47  46  48
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   S   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   6   7
LVORI...........10  10  10  7   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   1   1   2   4   5   6   6   7   8   9   9
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...24
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523800.0/ALY
.DELDT 10/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org