Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
123
FNUS71 KALY 301024
FWSALY
Spot Forecast for Cherry Plain Fire...NYSDEC Forest Rangers
National Weather Service Albany NY
624 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on October 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Behind a passing cold front, northwesterly winds will pick up with
sustained winds 15-20 mph with gusts 25-35 mph. RH values will lower
to 50 to 55 percent this afternoon. With the gusty winds, recent dry
weather and lowering relative humidity, there will be an elevated
risk of fire spread today, especially during the afternoon hours.
Winds will decrease tonight into this weekend with continued dry
weather. RH values will lower to 30 to 40 percent Saturday with
northwesterly winds generally 10 mph or less. RH values lower to
40 to 50 percent on Sunday. RH values rebound toward 90 to 100
percent each night.
Dry weather continues early next week with light winds. There are
increasing chances a widespread rainfall finally arrives later
next week.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Dewpoint............47 decreasing to 35.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......West winds 7 to 16 mph with gusts to around 29
mph shifting to the northwest around 17 mph
with gusts to around 31 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 13 mph increasing to 20 to 28
mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (86200 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76 64 42 31 21 25 35 35 33 31 43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............51 52 52 52 52 51 51 51 51 51 49
Dewpoint........48 49 48 45 42 41 39 37 36 34 34
RH..............89 89 86 77 69 68 63 59 56 52 56
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..7 9 12 14 16 17 17 17 17 17 17
20 FT wind gust.16 20 24 26 29 30 31 30 30 30 30
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.6 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.10 13 20 24 26 26 25 25 28 28 28
LVORI...........7 8 7 6 4 4 4 3 3 2 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 10 28 49 65 70 70 73 82 84 86
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Dewpoint............35 decreasing to 30 after 3 am.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 9 to 16 mph with gusts to
around 29 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (38600 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4900 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............5.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........43 36 38 35 42 48 49 45 37 33 35 33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............47 45 43 42 41 41 41 40 39 38 37 35
Dewpoint........34 35 36 37 37 36 36 35 33 31 30 29
RH..............60 68 76 82 85 82 82 82 79 76 75 78
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..16 15 14 13 12 10 10 12 12 12 10 9
20 FT wind gust.29 26 24 23 22 22 22 22 22 22 21 20
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.7 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.7
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N
Transp wind spd.21 20 20 18 17 16 15 16 15 15 13 14
LVORI...........3 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..39 28 15 11 10 10 9 9 10 6 5 8
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Dewpoint............27.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (41300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26 19 12 9 7 5 4 5 3 5 5 4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............34 32 31 33 39 42 44 46 47 48 49 47
Dewpoint........29 28 28 28 28 27 26 25 25 25 25 25
RH..............82 85 88 82 64 55 49 43 42 40 39 42
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..8 6 6 7 8 9 9 8 8 7 6 6
20 FT wind gust.18 15 13 15 15 16 15 15 14 13 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.8 1.8 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.8 3.7 2.0
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.12 12 10 13 14 15 15 14 14 12 12 9
LVORI...........6 6 6 6 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 6 7 20 29 37 41 38 41 38 37 16
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR FR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...33
Requested by...Nathan Laymon
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2624832.1/ALY
.DELDT 10/30/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.stratton@dec.ny.gov,Nathaniel.Laymon@dec.ny.gov,steven.jackson@dec.ny.gov,raybrook.dispatch@dec.ny.gov