408
FNUS71 KALY 050100
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Abby Fire...NYSDEC
National Weather Service Albany NY
800 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 EST on November 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Clear skies this evening give way to increasing clouds overnight
as a cold front approaches from the west. Temperatures drop into
the upper 40s to low 50s, which will allow for RH recovery to
80-100% tonight. Winds tonight will be from the southeast at
around 5 kt, with gusts of up to 10-12 kt.

This cold front will bring scattered showers late tonight/early
tomorrow morning (start time looks to be around sunrise). Showers
likely taper off/become more isolated tomorrow afternoon, with
total rainfall amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch.
Given showers tomorrow, min afternoon RH looks to remain near or
above 80%, although winds increase to to 5-10 kt from the south (locally
up to 10-15 kt on the ridgetops) with gusts to 15-20 kt (highest
on the ridgetops as well).

Gusts should diminish tomorrow evening, with additional chances
for showers tomorrow night through the weekend, and min RH
remaining at or above 60% through the weekend.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EST)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........48  51  47  48  45  52  74  74  61  73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  52  52  53  53  53  54  54  53  54
RH..............93  96  96  89  89  89  86  86  96  96
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.8   7   8   8   9   9   10  12  12  12

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    early in the morning. Rain showers early in the
                    morning, then chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    light late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.16 inches.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88  82  86  95  100 88  91  87  90  86  82  79
Weather cov.....    CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  50  80  90  90  80  40  40  30  30  30  30
Temp............54  55  58  59  60  61  62  62  63  63  62  61
RH..............100 100 93  93  93  93  90  90  87  90  93  97
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.13  13  15  16  15  15  15  15  14  14  13  13

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the evening, then slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........63  63  63  63  66  65  68  58  55  48  67  70
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  50  50  50  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............61  61  61  61  60  60  59  58  58  57  54  54
RH..............93  90  90  90  93  93  96  96  93  93  100 96
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.12  10  8   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  73  49  58  66  64  62  60  62  65  67  71
Weather cov.....PTY PTY                 SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG                 RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............52  52  54  57  60  62  63  64  63  62  61  59
RH..............100 100 100 93  81  72  67  63  65  67  70  75
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   S   S   S   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   5   3   5   6   7   6   5   3   3

$$
Forecaster...35
Requested by...Ranger Russell Martin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2625270.0/ALY
.DELDT 11/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL russell.martin@dec.ny.gov