419
FXUS64 KAMA 040001
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
601 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1256 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Low chances of fog are present for Wednesday morning for the
  Western and Central Panhandles.

- More chances of showers and thunderstorms are expected
  Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

- Cooler temperatures look to hold with overnight lows in the 30s
  to low 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1256 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

As of this afternoon, present observations stations around the
Panhandles were still reporting northerly wind gusts upwards of 30
to 35 mph. However, these winds should begin to quiet down once we
head into the late afternoon and evening time frame. From there
present CAMs do see a brief period of high pressure fall over the
Panhandles. While this would normally give us a dry and quiet
night, the still lingering moisture in our area does open us for
opportunities for patchy fog during our overnight period. At this
time, these chances are mostly across our Western Panhandles with
expectation to fade rather quickly Wednesday morning. Moving into
Wednesday proper does have models seeing a new upper-level trough
brush across the Northern Panhandles with chances of showers and
thunderstorms following that night. Currently, best chances have
continued to trend across the Oklahoma Panhandle and Northeastern
Texas Panhandle at around 20 to 40 percent. Otherwise temperatures
do look to stay rather cool for Wednesday with afternoon
temperatures in the 60s and morning lows in the mid 30s to low
40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 1256 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Present model agreement does continues to see the expected trough
push across the Panhandles early Thursday morning with its full
exit following later that evening. Showers are possible alongside
this trough with present ensembles giving us around a 20 to 40
percent chance of rain showers in the Northeastern Panhandles.
Moving into Friday, most models do see another ridge building in
across the Southwestern United States, which will lead to
northwesterly upper-level flow across the Panhandles. While this
should leave us rather dry for Friday, there have been hints in
the GFS and ECMWF of a short-wave trough pushing across this flow
later this weekend. However, present agreement between the
ensembles has not seen much potential out this wave, with current
trends now dropping our chance of precipitation below 10 percent
through the entire weekend. Regardless, temperature will stay cool
under this flow with afternoon highs holding in the low to mid
60s. Meanwhile, overnight and morning lows will start get more of

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 531 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Evening satellite imagery showing a few high clouds streaming
from northwest to southeast acxross the area. Winds overnight
should become light and variable and there is the potential for
some patchy fog across portions of the panhandles. Will not
mention in the TAFS at this time but will keep an eye on the
situation. For Wednesday winds will become south-southwesterly and
become a little breezy in the afternoon. Otherwise VFR conditions
are expected

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...54