Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
467 FXUS64 KAMA 130536 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1136 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1100 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 - Above average temperatures through the work week and into the weekend. Low to moderate chance for record high temperatures on Thursday and Friday. - A weather system arriving Sunday night brings cooler conditions and low chances for precipitation Monday and Tuesday. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 1136 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 Warmer air remains over the Panhandles, and that will keep the overnight lows a bit above normal. Winds will be fairly light and skies will have limited cloud cover, so that still will allow mid 30s to lower 40s as the overnight lows. As we move into Thursday we continue to stay warm and dry with high pressure mainly overhead. Temperatures will creep up a bit more and we expect highs to be in the mid 70s to lower 80s. We can expect similar overnight lows on Thursday night as tonight. Friday as the ridge starts to shift further east and we get better southwest flow ahead of a large scale weather system off the CA coast, we can expect the potential for record highs. Temperatures look to range from upper 70s to mid 80s. And normal for this time of year around the Panhandles would be lower 60s. The winds may stay up overnight on Friday night, which would support very mild overnight lows. Currently we`re looking at lows in the mid 40s in the northwest to mid 50s in the southeast Friday night. Weber && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1136 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 Although Friday will probably end up as the warmest day in the forecast. Saturday will still be pretty close as heights fall just a little bit with this incoming weather system. Still, highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s are in play across the Panhandles. Sunday we`ll see the first push of cooler air that looks to clip in the back door and bring the east down into the upper 60s to lower 70s, while the west will still be under the influence of southwest flow and should see mid to upper 70s. For Monday that large scale low that started off the CA coast days ago, is now expected to break down into just an open wave that will clip across the northern Panhandles. This will cool us off, but we`ll still be well above normal with upper 60s to upper 70s expected in the forecast. And while this system is trying to latch on to cooler air from a Great Lakes system to bring down to at least the northern Panhandles, another large scale trough is expected to be over the Las Vegas, NV area and really push the warm southwest flow back over the Panhandles, keeping mild temperatures in play. The cooler air from the previous wave, may still win out on Tuesday and linger before the warm southwest flow returns, and thus highs on Tuesday are only expected to be in the lower to mid 60s. Wednesday will be the day to watch as we have both the moisture from the system that was over Vegas moving our way, but a good fetch of gulf moisture looks to be drawn up in the southwest flow. So while precipitation may not occur on Wednesday, the chances will start to increase at least by Wednesday evening, with even better chances likely to come in the following day or two. All that being said, there is still the chance that this moisture tracks further south, or is drawn up from the Gulf further east in the OK area, so it`s not a guarantee that we break the dry streak mid to late next week, but it`s certainly looking better. Weber && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1136 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites over the next 24 hours with winds starting off out of the southeast transitioning more southwesterly in the 5 to 10 kt range. For most sites after 12z we`ll likely be light and variable. Skies will have few to scattered high clouds. Weber && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...89 LONG TERM....89 AVIATION...89