Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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650
FNUS74 KAMA 142233
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for Schultz...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
533 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 CDT on September 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Main concern for the evening will be breezy winds still in place
as winds out of the south 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph
through about 8PM. Winds will come down but very gradually so that
sustain winds will still be around 13 to 17 mph with gusts around
20 to 25 mph overnight. A frontal boundary may track over the
burn area that would lighten the winds but cause a shift out of
the north overnight, so that is something to watch for, but there
is inconsistency as to if it will track far enough south before
the southerly winds take over for tomorrow. Now tomorrow evening
we do expect the front to move over the area and for storms to
develop along that front that could produce ample rainfall as well
as gusty winds that could be in the 50 to 60 mph range.

Weber

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 16 to 22 mph. Gusts up to 36 mph in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 21 to 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (210800 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (9200 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............97     93     86     83     82     80
RH..............28     31     39     41     44     51
20 ft wind......S 22   S 20   S 18   S 17   S 16   S 16
20 ft wind gust.32     28     26     25     23     23
Mix hgt (kft)...8.4    0.7    0.5    0.5    0.5    0.5
Transport wind..SW 29  S 22   S 23   S 23   S 22   SW 21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..211    14     10     10     9      10
Ventrate Cat....EXNT   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Showers likely and chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 13 to 16 mph shifting to the
                    west around 10 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (94600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to fair (28700 knot-ft)
                    early in the morning increasing to excellent
                    (121800 knot-ft) in the afternoon late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     0      0      40     60
Temp............77     76     85     91     96     97
RH..............56     60     46     38     32     33
20 ft wind......S 16   S 16   SW 15  SW 14  S 13   SW 13
20 ft wind gust.23     23     23     22     20     20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6    0.8    2.6    4.8    8.1    5.0
Transport wind..SW 20  SW 18  SW 24  SW 20  S 17   S 16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11     13     54     82     122    70
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   VYGD   GOOD

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Showers likely
                    through the night. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the north 5
                    to 6 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the northeast around 5 mph overnight becoming
                    light after 3 am becoming east around 5 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast
                    early in the evening, then shifting to the east
                    around 10 mph late in the evening shifting to
                    the west around 9 mph overnight shifting to the
                    east 9 to 10 mph decreasing to around 7 mph
                    after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     70     60     60     40     40
Temp............91     81     75     73     71     69
RH..............41     60     76     81     87     90
20 ft wind......W 8    N 6    NE 6   NW 5   NE 5   E 5
20 ft wind gust.14     11     9      7      6      6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3    0.8    0.8    1.4    1.4    1.4
Transport wind..W 12   N 9    NE 12  W 9    E 10   E 7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13     6      8      11     13     8
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south 5
                    to 7 mph early in the morning, then increasing
                    to 9 to 14 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northeast early in the morning, then shifting
                    to the south 7 to 13 mph early in the morning
                    increasing to 15 to 17 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (80500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (103100
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40     0      0      0      0      0
Temp............68     67     77     86     93     96
RH..............93     97     67     46     35     30
20 ft wind......NE 5   SE 5   S 5    S 9    S 13   S 14
20 ft wind gust.6      6      9      15     20     22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5    0.5    1.5    4.6    7.3    9.5
Transport wind..SE 6   SE 7   S 8    S 13   S 16   S 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2      3      10     51     103    142
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   VYGD   VYGD

$$
Forecaster...Weber
Requested by...B Burns
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621884.0/AMA
.DELDT 09/14/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0