210
FNUS74 KAMA 172150
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for Potter 4173...CS Dispatch TX A&M FS
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
450 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT CDT
MONDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...

Critical to extremely critical Fire Weather conditions will
continue today and again on Monday. Winds today will continue to
be out of the southwest 20-25 mph. Winds should be on a gradual
down trend each hour, where it will be 15-20 after 10 PM and
should hold in that range all night. RH recovery for the most part
looks poor less than 20 percent through about 2 AM in which the
dryline should help recover RH values up to 60 percent by 7 AM,
but by 11 AM the dryline will be east again and we`ll be below 15
percent and should bottom out around 5 percent again on Monday.
Winds on Monday will be south southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts
40 to 50 mph. Winds will shift more westerly around 8 to 10 PM.
and may pull back 20 to 25 mph, then turn more northwest 20 to 25
around midnight. Then going northerly shortly thereafter. This is
our best guess timing for the cold front, it`s not uncommon for
these fronts to come in a little faster, so the wind shift
tomorrow could be earlier.

Weber

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........6 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds around 25 mph with
                    gusts to around 36 mph.
Mixing height.......14700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 33 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (425600 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      5 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0
Temp............94
RH..............7
20 ft wind......SW 25
20 ft wind gust.36
Mix hgt (kft)...15
Transport wind..SW 33
Vrate kt-ft/1K..426
Ventrate Cat....EXNT

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 16 to 25 mph. Gusts up
                    to 41 mph in the evening.
Mixing height.......13800 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 23 to 32 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (359800 knot-ft) decreasing to good
                    (35200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing
                    to poor (9800 knot-ft) late in the night early
                    in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............95     93     82     78     74     68
RH..............6      6      9      10     12     23
20 ft wind......SW 25  SW 23  SW 21  SW 18  SW 16  SW 16
20 ft wind gust.37     33     29     23     22     22
Mix hgt (kft)...14     1.8    0.6    0.6    0.6    0.6
Transport wind..SW 32  SW 26  S 23   SW 24  SW 25  SW 24
Vrate kt-ft/1K..403    35     11     12     13     13
Ventrate Cat....EXNT   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........6 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. South winds 17 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    around 36 mph shifting to the southwest 28 to
                    30 mph with gusts to around 42 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 23 to 30 mph increasing to 33 to 41
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (77100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (385400
                    knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............66     66     81     88     92     93
RH..............45     52     21     11     7      6
20 ft wind......S 17   S 18   S 22   S 24   S 28   SW 30
20 ft wind gust.23     25     30     34     39     42
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6    0.7    3.4    7.7    11     12
Transport wind..SW 24  SW 23  SW 26  SW 33  SW 40  SW 40
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13     13     77     223    389    422
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   GOOD   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT

$$
Forecaster...Weber
Requested by...Rachael Haver
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613882.0/AMA
.DELDT 05/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0