933
FNUS74 KAMA 240302
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for Old Deer...TFS
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1002 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2200 CDT on August 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered light showers are tracking toward the burn area over the
next hour or two. Not much lightning being reported. But there
were a couple of strikes in Oldham County recently. As far as
wind, the recent sites near these showers have suggested that you
could see a gust up to 40 mph, but most have been in the teens to
mid 20 mph range. Overall prevailing winds tonight, 8 to 12 mph
out of the south, becoming west overnight, then shifting northwest
in the early morning hours, and finishing off light and variable
out of the north by Monday afternoon. Storm chances tomorrow
evening about 20 percent and that will increase to about 30
percent Monday night.

Weber

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms this evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    west around 12 mph after 3 am. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 18 mph shifting to the west 13 to
                    16 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5600 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  PC  MC  PC  PC  MCR PC
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............89  87  85  84  82  81  79  79
RH..............27  29  32  33  35  37  37  38
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  13  12  10  10  10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.18  18  16  15  14  14  15  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.18  18  17  16  16  15  13  13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 103.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 13 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 15 mph shifting to the north 10 to
                    15 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (101100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............78  77  77  81  86  90  93  95  98  99  100 102
RH..............38  38  38  34  29  26  24  22  20  19  19  17
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..13  14  14  13  14  14  12  10  8   7   6   5
20 FT wind gust.18  18  19  16  19  18  16  16  14  13  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.1 6.3 8.5 11  11  11
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  15  15  14  15  15  13  13  13  10  10  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   6   7   12  26  39  45  70  94  96  101 98
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  VGD GD

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 5 mph early in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east 13
                    to 20 mph in the evening and overnight, then
                    shifting to the northeast 14 to 15 mph after 3
                    am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (93300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  PC  MC
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............99  98  95  89  85  83  81  80  78  76  75  74
RH..............19  20  24  31  36  39  46  47  52  55  58  61
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   7   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.11  11  11  12  13  12  11  9   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...10  7.5 1.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.5
Transp wind dir.NE  E   SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  E   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  13  15  17  18  20  17  17  14  14  15  14
Vrate kt-ft/1K..93  82  23  10  8   9   8   8   6   6   10  6
Ventrate Cat....GD  GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...Weber
Requested by...Andrew Chelf
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620349.0/AMA
.DELDT 08/23/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0