515
FNUS74 KAMA 151031
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for Koogle...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
531 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on August 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will stay breezy at the burn site, out of the south-
southwest at 10-15 mph with gusts up to 20-25 mph through the
afternoon hours. Winds will become more light and variable
overnight into Sunday, gradually shifting out of the north at 10
mph behind a boundary early Sunday morning. Storm chances will
stay mostly north and west of the burn site today, but will have
about a 15-20% chance for an isolated storm or two in the area
Sunday afternoon-evening. Hot and unstable conditions the next
couple of afternoons could be favorable for the development of
pyrocumulus, which could produce erratic wind gusts. Minimum RH
values will be in the 20-30% range while overnight recovery is
forecast to peak around 60-70%.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......9600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (97700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (113600
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR PC  PC  MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............77  75  78  80  85  88  91  94  96  98  98  98
RH..............64  66  60  56  46  42  37  31  28  26  25  24
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   7   8   10  10  10  10  12  13  14  14
20 FT wind gust.7   8   9   12  14  14  14  14  15  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.9 2.5 3.4 5.1 7.8 8.9 9.5 9.6 9.5
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   15  16  15  13  12  13  14  15  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   4   5   24  35  44  56  78  98  114 124 123
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 14 mph shifting to the west 5
                    to 6 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 9
                    to 10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (127500 knot-ft) decreasing to fair
                    (22900 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing
                    to poor (3900 knot-ft) late in the night early
                    in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  MCR PC  PC  MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............99  98  96  91  88  86  84  82  81  80  78  76
RH..............22  23  25  32  36  40  43  46  49  52  56  62
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SE  S   W   NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..14  14  12  9   7   7   6   6   6   5   6   5
20 FT wind gust.18  18  15  14  13  11  9   9   8   8   9   7
Mix hgt (kft)...9.1 8.6 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.16  17  17  15  15  14  13  12  10  10  10  9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..128 129 23  7   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....VGD VGD PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north 5 to 6 mph late in the morning, then
                    shifting to the west late in the morning
                    shifting to the south 5 to 7 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph shifting to the south 8 to 10
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (92000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (104600
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............76  74  76  79  84  87  90  92  94  96  97  98
RH..............62  68  62  53  46  40  35  31  28  26  25  24
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  N   N   NW  W   W   W   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   6   5   5   5   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   9   9   7   6   7   9   12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.2 4.4 6.3 8.1 10  12  11  12
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   12  12  10  9   8   8   9   8   10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   4   9   24  32  40  51  57  73  92  78  105
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  VGD

$$
Forecaster...Harrel
Requested by...Sage Swimmer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619737.0/AMA
.DELDT 08/15/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0