339
FXUS63 KAPX 301002
AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
602 AM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Gradual warming trend and dry conditions for Labor Day
  Weekend into early next week.

- Next shot of cooler air and additional rain chances return the
  middle of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 348 AM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

High pressure centered overhead will make for a pleasant end to
August. After a chilly start, today will bring plenty of
sunshine with daytime highs looking top out in the low to mid
70s. Skies stay mostly clear into tonight as the high pressure
remains overhead. While radiational cooling will once again
allow temperatures to fall efficiently, the moderating airmass
should keep lows in the 40s to near 50.

Overall, today looks like a quiet and pleasant day across
northern Michigan, setting the stage for a warm and sunny
holiday weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 348 AM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

High pressure holds strong through the holiday weekend, keeping
the weather quiet with moderating temperatures. Sunday through
Tuesday will feel more like summer again, with highs in the mid
to upper 70s and some spots pushing near 80 Monday and Tuesday.

A more significant pattern change arrives midweek as a strong
trough digs out of Canada and its attendant cold front swing
across the Great Lakes. Showers and a few embedded thunderstorms
look likely Wednesday into Wednesday night with the systems
aforementioned front. Behind it, a much cooler airmass surges
in, with highs Thursday struggling to reach the 50s for some...
Unseasonably cool and unsettled conditions look to persist into
the end of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 602 AM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

Patchy FG/BR across parts of northern Michigan (including MBL) will
dissipate close to 12Z as diurnal mixing ensues. Afterwards, VFR
conditions are expected at all TAF sites through this evening. Light
northwest winds around 5 kts will be in place today, allowing lake
breeze formation to push inland from Lake Huron later this
afternoon. Patchy FG/BR will be possible again late tonight -- with
MBL being the most likely TAF site to experience VSBY
reductions.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for MIZ017-022-023-
     027>029-032>035.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...NSC
LONG TERM...NSC
AVIATION...DJC