594
FXUS63 KAPX 281720
AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
120 PM EDT Thu May 28 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Continued dry with largely seasonable temperatures anticipated
  through the forecast period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 119 PM EDT Thu May 28 2026

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: An amplified mid-upper level pattern
across NOAM largely remains the rule through the entirety of
the forecast period. This afternoon through at least next
Tuesday, northern MI expected to find itself in the vicinity of
the trough/ridge interface, favoring subsidence aloft and
reinforcing Canadian-originated surface high pressure sagging
south into the western Great Lakes. Toward the middle of next
week, increasing potential for this pattern to begin to break
down with downstream troughing exiting out over the Atlantic and
upstream ridging trekking east into the Great Lakes region.

Forecast Details: Rinse and repeat. Still not a lot of sensible
weather to talk about across northern MI through the forecast period
as bouts of surface high pressure continue to sag in from the north.
That said, suppose there`s a non-zero chance for a couple of showers
late in the day Friday/Friday evening coinciding with a back door
cold frontal passage, but this kind of feels like grasping at straws
as the deterministic forecast will remain a dry one.

High temperatures over the next week largely within the scope of
seasonable normals. Tomorrow (Friday) likely to be the warmest,
especially in downsloping northeast lower where highs likely to make
a run at the mid-upper 80s the closer you get to Saginaw Bay. Cooler
Saturday post-fropa, with highs largely ranging from the upper 60s
to upper 70s area-wide -- coolest near the Lake Huron shoreline
where easterly winds should keep those nearest the shoreline from
reaching much higher than the low 60s. Mainly 70s anticipated Sunday
through Tuesday with a gradual warmup anticipated again for the
middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 109 PM EDT Thu May 28 2026

Light winds generally 5-10kts from N with lake/onshore breezes to
develop this afternoon. Expect these to diminish overnight, with
land/offshore breezes likely overnight at coastal taf sites. Winds
turn to the W and pick up to around 5-10kts, gusting 15-20kts
Friday morning into afternoon, likely strongest for CIU/PLN/APN.
Minimal clouds expected today/tonight, except for maybe cirrus;
expect a bit more in the way of mid/high clouds to approach from the
N/NE early Friday and into Friday afternoon with a cold front
dropping in from Ontario.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MJG
AVIATION...FEF