Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
523
FNUS53 KAPX 081827
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
227 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
...Chilly with frost tonight/Rain-free until Friday as temperatures
moderate...
.DISCUSSION...High pressure has settled into the Great Lakes
region and will remain in place through Thursday afternoon before
shifting east. Dry weather will be the rule as a result through
Thursday night. An approaching cold front will increase rain
chances on Friday and continue into Saturday. Current thoughts on
rainfall amounts for Friday through Saturday morning are
0.25-0.50 inch north of a Frankfort to Rogers City line...and up
to 0.25 inch south. For Saturday rainfall amounts are expected to
be less than 0.10 of an inch.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-090815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
227 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Widespread frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....32-37.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (303).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 21 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after
midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (374).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-090815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
227 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Widespread frost after
2400.
Min Temperature.....32-37...except around 41 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 51-56 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer...except 1 degree warmer near
the coast.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (313).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the south
around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 45-50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy frost
until 1200. Chance of rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (503).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-090815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
227 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Widespread frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....27-32...except 45-50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 10 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (310).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....38-43...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer...except 13 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 20 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (585).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-090815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
227 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Widespread frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....27-32.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the east
around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent...except 42-47 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (301).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent) until 2400, then partly
cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of frost after
2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of frost
until 1200. Chance of rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (599).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-090815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
227 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Widespread frost after
2400.
Min Temperature.....28-33.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (290).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph shifting to the south
around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Areas of frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of frost
until 1200. Chance of rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (517).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JPB