167
FNUS53 KAPX 170657
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
257 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

...Rain-free weather today, rain chances return Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny skies will be in place across northern Michigan today
with afternoon temperatures climbing into the upper 70s to low 80s.
Northwest winds will increase through this morning to 5-10 mph
through this afternoon, along with gusts to 15-20 mph at times. Lake
breeze formation is expected to push inland from Lake Huron this
afternoon, switching winds to east/northeast behind the boundary.
Minimum RHs in the 30-40 percent range are anticipated across
interior northern lower Michigan this afternoon. Chances for
scattered showers and perhaps a few storms return on Tuesday.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-172015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
257 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......36 percent drier...except 23 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (555).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (677).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-172015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
257 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (478).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (752).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-172015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
257 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (544).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (748).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-172015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
257 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (575).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (845).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-172015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
257 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (581).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1029).
Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

DJC