Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
979
FNUS53 KAPX 010951
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
551 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
...Rain today...
.DISCUSSION...Another round of rain builds into the area this
morning with periods of rain expected across the majority of
northern lower Michigan for much of the day. Additional rain amounts
expected to vary quite a bit from north to south -- favored at less
than a tenth of an inch near the bridge to as much as 1-1.5" near
Saginaw Bay. Winds today initially out of the southwest turn
northwesterly through the afternoon. While an isolated pop-up shower
chance exists Friday, much more precipitation-free time expected.
North-northwest winds Friday will be gusty at times. No RH concerns
today or Friday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-012015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
551 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 20 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (199).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.32 in.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler...except 11 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 16 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......31 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (926).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-012015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
551 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog. Chance of
rain showers until 1200Rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........74-79 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (149).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.92 in.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.28 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......40 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (987).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-012015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
551 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog. Chance of
rain showers until 1200Rain showers likely
after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........83-88 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (135).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the west
around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......35 percent drier...except 21 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (718).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-012015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
551 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog. Showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........87-92 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (109).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.28- 0.80 in.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1200, then
sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......40 percent drier...except 34 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (714).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-012015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
551 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog. Rain
showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........86-91 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (128).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.22- 1.00 in.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.30 in.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1200, then
sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......45 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (890).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD
FROST IN THE MORNING. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
MJG