Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
942
FNUS53 KAPX 291852
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
252 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026
...Warmer Thursday; Next Chances of Rain: Friday and Saturday...
.DISCUSSION... High pressure overhead will keep excellent mixing
and ventilation in place today, particularly across northeast
lower Michigan (including Huron National Forest) aided by
downsloping processes. Currently seeing RHs dip into the 30s,
mainly in interior northeast lower and far northern lower, a trend
that should carry through sunset. The occasionally breezy north
to northwest wind will taper this evening, along with mixing and
ventilation quality. Looking ahead to tomorrow (Thursday), there
will be a subtle increase in surface dewpoint, but with more
downsloping potential in northeast lower owing to persistent
southwest to west flow. With highs in the 80s (warmest northeast
lower), anticipating RHs to make a dip into the 30s once more
across northeast lower, holding higher the closer one gets to Lake
Michigan. Light winds and recent will prevent this from being an
elevated fire danger day.
Looking ahead, another system will bring about scattered rain
chances, initially with thunderstorm potential Friday (maximized
over NE lower) and more showery (perhaps a rumble of thunder)
Friday night into Saturday. AS such, wind patterns and humidities may
be subject to rapid changes in the vicinity of or within
thunderstorms.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-292015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
252 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (525).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 72-77 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (280).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-292015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
252 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (710).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (238).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-292015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
252 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (398).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62...except 65-70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent.
24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 11 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (363).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-292015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
252 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (579).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent.
24 HR Trend......25 percent drier...except 15 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the west around
6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 77-82 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 10 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (516).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-292015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
252 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (848).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....85-90.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (506).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
HAD