Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
938
FNUS53 KAPX 210849
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
449 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
...Chances for showers and storms today through Saturday...
.DISCUSSION...Rain chances will gradually increase from west to
east during the day today. Showers and a few storms are likely
tonight. Showers remain likely in northeast lower Michigan
Saturday, with a chance elsewhere. Southerly winds become a bit
breezy today, with gusts of 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds
turn northwest during the day on Saturday, with gusts of 25 to
30 mph possible. Humidity levels will lower into the 40s percent
today, and increase to the mid 50s to mid 60s Saturday. Mixing
heights reach 4000 to 5500 feet today, and will be lower
Saturday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-212200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
449 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 1200, then chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (590).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of showers.
Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (554).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-212200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
449 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (690).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (320).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the
northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.30 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-212200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
449 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 1200, then chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (578).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (552).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-212200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
449 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 1200, then chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (664).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms.
Rain showers likely after 2400. Patchy fog
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 1 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (598).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-212200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
449 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 1200Chance of rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (729).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Chance of rain showers. Chance of
thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (467).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.31 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JZ