497
FNUS53 KAPX 170916
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
516 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...Increasing shower and thunderstorm chances...

.DISCUSSION...A cold front crosses northern Michigan today. Chances
for showers and thunderstorms will increase today, especially this
afternoon in north central and northeast lower Michigan. A few
strong storms are possible, producing locally gusty winds. After a
lull early tonight, shower and storm chances increase late tonight
and especially Wednesday. Strong to perhaps severe storms, and
heavy rainfall, will be possible Wednesday.

Breezy southwest winds will occur today, gusts up to 25 to 30 mph.
Lighter southeast winds are expected Wednesday.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-172030-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
516 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 60-65 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (889).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. Chance of rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200, then rain showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (132).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.36 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-172030-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
516 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200, then chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1124).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Slight chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (146).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.37 in.
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-172030-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
516 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Slight chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (781).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of rain showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the south around
                    6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (147).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.21- 0.48 in.
Chance of Thunder...39 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-172030-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
516 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (899).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the south around
                    6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (199).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.24- 0.51 in.
Chance of Thunder...44 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-172030-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
516 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....83-88.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1381).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph shifting to the east around
                    6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 1200, then showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (228).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 0.45 in.
Chance of Thunder...49 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.JUNETEENTH...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

JZ