Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
479
FNUS53 KAPX 211849
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
249 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
...Quiet and Dry with East Winds...
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure over Ontario to pivot into Hudson Bay...keeping
persistent east(ish) flow thru much of the week...varying from NE
early in the week to more E/SE toward midweek and beyond. Sustained
winds will be strongest Tuesday/Wednesday (10-20mph), but should
trend down with time this week. Afternoon lake breezes/overnight
land breezes not impossible the next couple days but much better
chance will be late week. Drying trend looks to persist, too, along
with a slow warming trend, and expect deeper mixing/better drying
through at least midweek, if not into late week (mixing heights 2-
3kft increasing toward 5-6kft). Some clouds may try to sneak up
toward M-55 Wednesday as a low passes near the MI/OH border...but
rain not likely till perhaps the weekend (and prolonged dry pattern
this week could put the kibosh on this idea).
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-220815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
249 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (542).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (590).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-220815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
249 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47...except around 50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (68).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (595).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (566).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-220815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
249 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....39-44...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (596).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....38-43...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (596).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-220815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
249 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....39-44.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (599).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....39-44.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (634).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-220815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
249 PM EDT Mon Sep 21 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (616).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (662).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
FEF