427
FNUS53 KAPX 020536
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
136 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

...Cooler and a touch breezy...

.DISCUSSION...Northwest winds prevail today, occasionally breezy at
times -- aiding to usher in cooler fall-like temperatures. Aside
from low chances for a few isolated showers today, mainly
precipication-free conditions are expected through Saturday.
Additional shower chances return Saturday night into early Sunday,
although the highest probabilities for meaningful rain exist across
the U.P. No RH concerns foreseen over the next several days.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-022015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
136 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 12 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (837).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of frost
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (351).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-022015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
136 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......38 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (986).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 46-51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (298).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-022015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
136 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent drier...except 26 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (623).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....35-40...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler...except 7 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy frost
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (367).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-022015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
136 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......38 percent drier...except 33 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (614).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of frost until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (368).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-022015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
136 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......42 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (819).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Widespread frost until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (306).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MJG