753
FNUS53 KAPX 010843
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
443 AM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...Mainly rain free with a few showers possible today...

.DISCUSSION...

While most areas are expected to stay rain free today, a few showers
may pop up across parts of northwest lower Michigan late this
morning and afternoon. Light southeast 20 ft winds around 5 mph or
less will allow for lake breeze formation to push inland from all
lakeshores this afternoon. Daytime mixing is expected to drop RHs
into the 30-40 percent range this afternoon where localized near-
critical readings between 25-30 percent will be possible. Better
rain chances and much cooler temperatures move in Wednesday through
the end of the week.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-012015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
443 AM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (245).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (379).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-012015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
443 AM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (318).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (396).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-012015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
443 AM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent...except 41-46 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (232).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (445).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-012015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
443 AM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (279).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (558).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-012015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
443 AM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (346).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (477).
Mixing Height.......6800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COOLER. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND
60. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

DJC