Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
413
FNUS53 KAPX 211833
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
233 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
...Chances for showers and storms into the weekend...
.DISCUSSION...No glaring fire weather concerns through at least
Sunday with occasional/scattered shower and thunderstorm chances
through Sunday. That said, winds turn northwest during the day on
Saturday, with gusts of 20 to 30 mph possible late in the day. More
frequent 25+ mph gusts possible on Sunday. Min RHs Saturday and
Sunday expected to be well above critical thresholds.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-220815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
233 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous
showers.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.20 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated
thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered rain
showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (500).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.25 in.
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (75).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (786).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-220815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
233 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous showers
until 2400, then scattered showers.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.15 in.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Numerous showers
and isolated thunderstorms until 1200, then
scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (367).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the
northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...41 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (65).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 60-65 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (834).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-220815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
233 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
showers.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.18 in.
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated
thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered rain
showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (506).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (91).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 8 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (765).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-220815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
233 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
until 2400, then scattered showers.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.16 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 1200. Isolated thunderstorms.
Isolated rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 63-68 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (562).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 8 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (785).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-220815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
233 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Numerous showers
until 2400, then isolated showers.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Numerous rain
showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200,
then scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (571).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the
northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.25 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (51).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (857).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MJG