Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 311933
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
333 PM EDT Sat May 31 2025

...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

A dry airmass continues to dominate the state Sunday. High level
smoke has been keeping temperatures around 2 to 5 degrees cooler
over the western half of the state today. Min humidities are
around 5 to 10% higher over these cooler areas, but still have
time to drop this afternoon. Min humidities are still forecasted
to drop into the 20s Sunday afternoon, with north west winds
becoming breezy. Occasional gusts up to 15 to 20 mph will be seen
area wide, with more frequent gusts over NE lower. Higher level
smoke will continue to influence the state tomorrow, and could
lead to a few areas seeing higher min RHs and weaker winds.

More moisture will gradually move in from the west Monday, however
low changes for wetting rains. Winds turn southwest and strengthen
Tuesday as dry air likely returns.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-010845-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
333 PM EDT Sat May 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Areas of frost after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (813).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 30 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent...except 39-44 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (624).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-010845-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
333 PM EDT Sat May 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........77-82 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (78).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with frequent
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1181).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........64-69 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 17 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (722).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-010845-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
333 PM EDT Sat May 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....34-39...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........21-26 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (561).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer...except 10 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (581).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-010845-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
333 PM EDT Sat May 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....32-37...except around 40 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent...except 29-34 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (683).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier...except 30 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (670).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-010845-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
333 PM EDT Sat May 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Areas of frost after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (51).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1029).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1011).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...COOLER. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ELD