Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
108
FNUS53 KAPX 131916
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
316 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026
...Generally Quiet Ahead...
.DISCUSSION...
Not a ton of change expected in the next couple days, with temps and
RHs Friday likely similar to today -- mixing heights as well.
Prevailing light N/NE flow likely on Friday, which will likely focus
downsloping impacts toward Mesick/Wellston and perhaps West Branch
toward Gladwin. Not expecting any activity Friday, but not
impossible to get an isolated shower near the lake breeze, which is
also expected again Friday. The weekend is trending quieter than earlier
expectations, with rain chances trending further south Saturday
night/early Sunday; M-55 corridor currently most likely to see
appreciable rain.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-140815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
316 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (462).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
southeast around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (460).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-140815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
316 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (417).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 65-70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (335).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.21 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-140815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
316 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 65-70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (405).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 66-71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (440).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.39 in.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-140815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
316 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the northeast
around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....81-86.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (463).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 9 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (450).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.44 in.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-140815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
316 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (500).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (406).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.29 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
FEF