Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 120622
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
222 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...Milder temperatures, but still limited fire weather concerns...

.DISCUSSION...Although temperatures will trend to several degrees
above normal today and Monday, low level moisture looks abundant
enough to keep afternoon relative humidity values well above
critical thresholds. Temperatures will trend to more normal levels by
Wednesday and Thursday. Rain potential through Thursday remains
limited, with just perhaps a few light showers on Monday. Southeast
winds do become a touch gusty today, with winds becoming southwest
and decreasing in speed on Monday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-122300-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
222 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (688).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (56).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (403).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-122300-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
222 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (485).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (327).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-122300-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
222 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (646).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (333).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-122300-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
222 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (648).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (344).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-122300-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
222 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (622).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (48).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.COLUMBUS DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (340).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MSB