640
FNUS53 KAPX 170929
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
529 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

...Hot and humid weather will continue through this week...

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will warm around 5 to 15 degrees more
this afternoon as surface moisture also increases. Breezy
southwest winds will weaken later this evening. Afternoon lake
breeze likely to form near tip of the mitt mid to late afternoon.
Chances for showers and storms this afternoon and through tonight.
Heat and humidity will linger through the work week.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-172015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
529 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 22 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (513).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 12 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1130).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-172015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
529 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (663).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1225).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.25 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-172015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
529 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (687).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2400, then scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.12 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1144).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-172015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
529 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 80-85 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (936).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2400, then scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1253).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-172015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
529 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1003).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....85-90.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1385).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.26 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.JUNETEENTH...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

ELD