Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
358
FNUS53 KAPX 021819
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
219 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
...No fire weather concerns forthcoming...
.DISCUSSION...Rain-free conditions continue tonight through much of
Monday with shower chances returning by late Monday and Monday
night. Trends support warm weather through Wednesday with periodic
shower/storm chances. Much cooler and continued showery Thursday
into next weekend. No significant relative humidity or wind concerns.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-030815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
219 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except unchanged near the
coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (504).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.35 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 60-65 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (523).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-030815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
219 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Areas of fog
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (234).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (51).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (510).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.12 in.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-030815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
219 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except 10 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (593).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.24 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 61-66 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near
the coast.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (606).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
$$
MIZ031>033-030815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
219 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (654).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.37 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 73-78 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (709).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-030815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
219 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of fog
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (532).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.35 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (761).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
$$
.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MJG