Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 140752
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
352 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026

...Rain-free and near critical RHs today; Rain tonight into
Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...

Rain-free conditions and excellent mixing today are expected to
lower RH values below 35 percent across interior northern Lower,
especially across northeast Lower, including the Huron National
Forest. 20-ft winds will be under 10 mph this afternoon,
increasing through tonight with 20-ft winds becoming 10-15 mph by
Tuesday morning with gusts 25-35 mph possible. Widespread rain is
also expected to arrive around midnight tonight and will persist
through at least Tuesday afternoon, resulting in accumulations of
generally 0.25" or less to localized amounts of 0.50" or more.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-142015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
352 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (294).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain and
                    isolated thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.41 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 1200, then scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (568).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.24 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-142015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
352 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (374).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain likely
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.36 in.
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain likely until
                    1200, then scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (502).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-142015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
352 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 12 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (315).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain likely and
                    isolated thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain likely until
                    1200, then scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 41 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (480).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.18 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-142015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
352 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (324).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain likely and
                    isolated thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.20 in.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain likely
                    until 1200, then scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (427).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-142015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
352 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (293).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    and isolated thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain likely
                    until 1200, then scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (468).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.19 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND
70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

NSC