874
FNUS53 KAPX 160755
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
355 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...Increasing rain chances today into tonight...

.DISCUSSION...Chances for showers and thunderstorms will be on the
increase, with the most widespread activity expected tonight.
Chances for showers will decrease as we head through Thursday. While
widespread significant rain is not expected, local rain amounts in
excess of an inch are possible by Thursday morning. Low level
moisture will remain significantly more elevated than the past few
days, keeping relative humidity values well above critical levels
today and Thursday. Mixing heights will increase this morning,
maxing out between 3.0 to 5.0 kft this afternoon. Mixing heights
will be a bit lower on Thursday. Occasional 20 ft gusts 15 to 20 mph
will be possible today and Thursday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-162300-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
355 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (251).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.51 in .
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 2400. Scattered thunderstorms.
                    Numerous showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (63).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.64 in.
Chance of Thunder...45 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 1200, then partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 18 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (622).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.12 in.
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-162300-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
355 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except 1 degree cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (328).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.62 in.
Chance of Thunder...51 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Numerous showers.
                    Thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.19- 1.06 in.
Chance of Thunder...72 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Numerous showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (627).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.33 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-162300-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
355 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered showers.
                    Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (192).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.51 in .
Chance of Thunder...44 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2400, then showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except 10 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 83-88 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (74).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.68 in.
Chance of Thunder...77 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 1200, then mostly
                    sunny (45-55 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    and scattered thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler...except 9 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 19 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (581).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-162300-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
355 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered showers.
                    Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (246).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.57 in .
Chance of Thunder...55 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2400, then showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.46- 1.49 in.
Chance of Thunder...77 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler...except 9 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 11 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (548).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-162300-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
355 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (347).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.56 in.
Chance of Thunder...64 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Haze until 2400.
                    Numerous thunderstorms and scattered showers
                    until 2400, then showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 1.40 in.
Chance of Thunder...78 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (563).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB