Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
724
FNUS53 KAPX 101812
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
212 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026
...Mainly Precipitation Free Weather this Week...
.DISCUSSION...While the majority of Michigan`s LP is expected to
remain rain-free through the week, periodic instability and frontal
boundaries will produce scattered/isolated showers and storms. Best
chance for precipitation remains on Wednesday with highest
probabilities remaining below a quarter inch. RH values are expected
to mix into the 40s and 50s through Friday with light variable
winds.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-110815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
212 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (473).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (309).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.24 in .
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-110815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
212 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (350).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (324).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-110815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
212 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (368).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 65-70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (267).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-110815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
212 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (307).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (400).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-110815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
212 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (413).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (362).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SJC