Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
682
FNUS53 KAPX 022002
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
Issued by National Weather Service Marquette MI
402 PM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
...Cool and breezy weather continues...
.DISCUSSION...
A fall-like airmass continues over northern Lower MI this afternoon
with northwest wind gusts up to 20 mph this evening (highest to the
north). Winds relax overnight, becoming variable and generally 5
mph or less. Rainfall is unlikely tonight (generally 15% or less),
and if rain showers do occur, rain totals will be 0.01 inch or
less. After a frosty morning away from the Great Lakes, winds
generally out of the south (with some southwest/southeast variance)
will be around 5 mph with gusts of 10-15 mph. RH values for
Saturday will fall to around 40 percent.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-030830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
402 PM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy frost
after 0000.
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 44-49 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......100 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Widespread frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
24 HR Trend......44 percent wetter...except 53 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 0000.
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the west
around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...0.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-030830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
402 PM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Patchy frost
after 0000.
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 46-51 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......100 percent wetter...except 89 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......48 percent wetter...except 53 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 0000, then
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46...except around 50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except around 61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the west
around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-030830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
402 PM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy frost
after 0000.
Min Temperature.....35-40...except around 50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......100 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the northeast
around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
24 HR Trend......41 percent wetter...except 55 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 0000.
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent...except 0-5 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
northwest around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...0.
$$
MIZ031>033-030830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
402 PM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy frost after
0000.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......100 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Widespread frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......46 percent wetter...except 56 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 0000, then
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........0-5 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the
northwest around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-030830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
402 PM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy frost
after 0000.
Min Temperature.....33-38.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
24 HR Trend......100 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Widespread frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
24 HR Trend......49 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph shifting to the south
around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 0000, then
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...0.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........0-5 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........MISSING.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the west
around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
GS