226
FNUS53 KAPX 271820
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
220 PM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

...Turning Chilly with Diminishing Shower Chances Thursday...

.DISCUSSION... A cold front will pass through the region tonight
into Thursday morning, which will usher in a chilly airmass to the
region, with highs peaking in the 60s, perhaps struggling to
breach 60 across the interior terrain. Shower will be dispatched
to the south and east through the morning hours as the postfrontal
airmass sets up shop. The best chances for showers Thursday
morning will generally be south of M-32, with emphasis on the
Saginaw Bay area. Winds will be breezy out of the north...
sustained 10-15mph with some gusts approaching 25mph, perhaps up
to 30mph on the immediate lakeshores of both Lake Michigan and
Lake Huron. With fresh rainfall and min RHs struggling to get much
into the 50s, fire danger should remain low overall on Thursday
across northern lower Michigan.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-280900-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
220 PM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Numerous rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees warmer...except 13 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.21- 0.64 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (726).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (454).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-280900-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
220 PM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then numerous rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......20 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (51).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.14- 0.56 in.
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers until 1200. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (775).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (85).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Excellent (655).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-280900-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
220 PM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms and isolated rain showers until
                    2400, then numerous rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......21 degrees warmer...except 16 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.60 in.
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms until 1200,
                    then isolated rain showers.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (656).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.19 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 17 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (68).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (388).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-280900-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
220 PM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.29 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms until 1200,
                    then scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (638).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (435).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-280900-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
220 PM EDT Wed Aug 27 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 2400Scattered rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......22 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.14- 0.46 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers until 1200. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (730).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (55).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (588).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

HAD