570
FNUS53 KAPX 150808
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
408 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...Rain-free weather persists today...

.DISCUSSION...Rain-free weather will continue through this afternoon with high
pressure overhead. Cloud cover will begin to spread from west to
east across the area later this afternoon and evening ahead of our
next round of rain chances returning later tonight and Sunday.
Mainly light south-southeast winds around 5-10 mph will be in place
today with potential lake breeze formation pushing inland from the
lakeshores this afternoon. High temperatures are expected to get
into the upper 70s and low 80s for most of northern lower Michigan
today, with cooler highs in the low 70s across the furthest
northeast counties. Near-critical RHs are anticipated for a time
this afternoon across parts of interior northern Michigan -- most
likely along and west of I-75 where the warmest afternoon
temperatures are expected.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-152015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
408 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 17 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (469).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (556).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.23 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-152015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
408 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (277).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........62-67 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (611).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-152015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
408 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (586).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (734).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.33 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-152015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
408 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (644).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer...except 21 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......43 percent drier...except 34 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (65).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (845).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.38 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-152015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
408 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (432).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1044).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.JUNETEENTH...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

DJC