046
FNUS53 KAPX 031848
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
248 PM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

...Unsettled Weather Through The Weekend...

.DISCUSSION...

By early evening, most numerous showers/ storms are expected to
be to our south and east with a general drying trend across much
of the area. However, drizzle could linger through the evening
along with additional lake induced rain showers, particularly
across eastern Upper. Southwest winds turn northwest for tonight
with occasional gusts 20 to 25 mph. Precipitation is expected to
stay largely confined to the tip of the Mitt and eastern Upper
Thursday, with more widespread rain chances reappearing Thursday
night into Friday. Friday will also be quite gusty, with gusts of
30 to 35 mph. No RH concerns.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-040815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
248 PM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (151).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (988).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (72).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 15 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1018).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 24 mph shifting to the west
                    around 27 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.53 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-040815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
248 PM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (88).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.33 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 19 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1116).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200Chance of rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 15 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 45 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1489).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 27 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.34 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-040815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
248 PM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then slight chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....42-47...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (143).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1093).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (74).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1219).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.47 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-040815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
248 PM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (89).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.15 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent drier...except 23 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1129).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (55).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.32 in.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 degrees warmer near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1167).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-040815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
248 PM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (67).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.34 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1157).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1268).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

NSC