223
FNUS53 KAPX 011838
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
238 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...Precipitation Chances Possible this Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...

Precipitation-free and overall quiet weather will continue for the
majority of locations this Tuesday with high temperatures around
80 degrees. RH values will remain well above critical thresholds
with lowest values in the upper 30s for parts of interior
Michigan. Only chance of rainfall will be a few pop-up afternoon
showers for parts of northeast lower this Tuesday with more
widespread chances on Wednesday. Light winds are expected to
continue with variable directions due to inland penetrating lake
breeze processes.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-020830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
238 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 46-51 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (418).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after
                    midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200Rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......38 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.14- 0.67 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-020830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
238 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (400).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-020830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
238 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 8 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (443).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 8 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200Rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......36 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.28- 0.71 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-020830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
238 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (487).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 95-100 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200, then rain showers.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.62 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-020830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
238 PM EDT Mon Sep 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (502).
Mixing Height.......7400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.37 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND
60. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SJC