Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 180726
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
326 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

...Wet Period of Weather Ahead...

.DISCUSSION... Shower coverage will increase with time across
northeast lower today as a cold front stalls overhead.
Anticipating a lull in activity later this afternoon into the
evening before a strong area of low pressure brings a soaking, to
even heavy rain to the region later tonight into Sunday. As such,
with heightened RHs and a high intrusion of surface moisture, fire
danger will be low through the weekend.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-182015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
326 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (297).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.39 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then rain showers
                    likely.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.46 in.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 5 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (737).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 27 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.58- 1.25 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-182015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
326 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 1200,
                    then chance of rain showers and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (299).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.82 in.
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (648).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.71- 1.45 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-182015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
326 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (293).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.49 in.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (898).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.46- 0.86 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-182015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
326 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (277).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.26 in.
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.22- 0.60 in.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (840).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.58- 0.83 in.
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-182015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
326 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 1200,
                    then chance of rain showers and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (286).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.25 in.
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 0.84 in.
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (702).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 27 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.74- 1.35 in.
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

HAD