Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
264
FNUS53 KAPX 040922
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
422 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
...Mild with showers today, cooler Thursday...
.DISCUSSION...
Additional rain showers today with temperatures remaining
unseasonably mild in the 60s ahead of a strong system over WI. A
front swings through this afternoon/evening with winds turning from
S/SE to S/SW around 10-15mph but could be stronger near the coasts
and up toward Alpena/Posen with gusts 15-25mph. Very low chance of a
rumble of thunder, but not likely. Winds should be similar to start
Thursday, but will turn around to the N/NE late going into Thursday
night and Friday behind another strong cold front, with sustained
winds as high as 10-20mph and gusts over 20mph possible. Lingering
rain showers then transition to N flow lake effect rain showers
(snow could mix in overnight). RH issues not anticipated through the
rest of the week as temps cool.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-042130-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
422 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
to around 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (444).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400, then slight chance of rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph, especially near Lake Michigan.
Vent Rate...........Poor (108).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........74-79 percent.
24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (499).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-042130-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
422 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (349).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (71).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........72-77 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (518).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-042130-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
422 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (462).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.16 in.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph, especially near the coast.
Vent Rate...........Fair (130).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........77-82 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 20 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (465).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-042130-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
422 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (493).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.12 in.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
24 HR Trend......19 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph, especially near the coast.
Vent Rate...........Fair (172).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........80-85 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (461).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-042130-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
422 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (408).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.15 in.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400Slight chance of rain showers
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (103).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........74-79 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (518).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
FEF