681
FNUS53 KAPX 110944
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
544 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

...Quiet Conditions Continue...

.DISCUSSION...
Generally quiet conditions continue through Friday with high
pressure in the region. Light north/northeasterly flow this
morning to prevail, with lake breeze development likely this
afternoon; most noticeable off Lake Michigan. Patchy dense fog to
burn off through mid-morning, with partly cloudy skies expected
today. Mixing heights range from around 2-3kft near the Straits to
closer to 6-8kft toward M-55, where afternoon RHs drop toward 30-40
percent; mixing heights here could be as low as 4-5kft though. A
rogue shower can`t be ruled out over the interior/near US-131 this
afternoon, where lake breezes could boost things a tad, but
most all areas stay dry. Patchy fog to develop again tonight, and
very similar conditions expected again Friday but prevailing flow
should turn more southerly with time. Rain chances return
late Friday night/Saturday, with slight chance of thunder as well.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-112015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
544 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (213).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (327).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-112015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
544 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 20 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (216).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (362).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-112015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
544 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (169).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer...except 1 degree cooler near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (352).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-112015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
544 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (210).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 3 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (507).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-112015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
544 AM EDT Thu Sep 11 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (245).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (665).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FEF