Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
385
FNUS53 KAPX 301906
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
306 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026
...Chances for Showers/Storms...
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and storms possible tonight...with threat lasting
into Friday and perhaps Saturday as well. Winds generally remain
light into Friday, turning a bit more W as a weak front drapes
through, with afternoon lake breezes possible with enough sun.
Increasing mugginess with increased rain/storm chances thru
Saturday; thus, minRHs should remain above concerns. Mixing heights
generally 3-6kft today and Friday but could be lower Saturday, esp
if we remain more rainy/muggy. Flow turns east/northeast behind this
late Saturday into the start of next week.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-310815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
306 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.21 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated showers
until 1200, then scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 63-68 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (315).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.25 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers until
2400, then showers likely.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.39 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........71-76 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (118).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.25 in.
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-310815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
306 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
until 2400.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the west after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated showers
until 1200, then scattered showers and
thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 72-77 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (434).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered thunderstorms
and chance of showers until 2400, then showers
likely.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.30 in.
Chance of Thunder...36 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........74-79 percent.
24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (102).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.82 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-310815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
306 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated
showers.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
24 HR Trend......19 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated showers.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (305).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers until
2400, then showers likely.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.25 in.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
until 1200, then chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........73-78 percent.
24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (147).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.48 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-310815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
306 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
showers.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated showers.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 72-77 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (376).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.19 in.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........76-81 percent.
24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (170).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 0.51 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-310815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
306 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
until 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........75-80 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated showers
until 1200Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (515).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers until
2400, then showers likely.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........71-76 percent.
24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (130).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.99 in.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
80. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
FEF