788
FNUS53 KAPX 220850
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
450 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...Wet Pattern Continues through Next Week...

.DISCUSSION...
Chances for torrential rain with showers and storms today and
tonight. Widespread soaking rain will likely amount to a inch or
two with locally higher amounts through early Sunday morning. Slight
chances for strong wind gusts with storms this afternoon.
Moisture and rain chances will linger through next week.
Temperatures will be near seasonal to slightly below seasonal.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-222045-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
450 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
                    Isolated thunderstorms until 1200. Rain
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (105).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.78- 1.95 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2400. Scattered thunderstorms. Scattered
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (51).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.56- 1.93 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (784).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 24 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.27 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-222045-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
450 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
                    Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms
                    until 1200, then showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........76-81 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (92).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.62- 1.82 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers until
                    2400. Scattered thunderstorms. Scattered
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.83- 1.61 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (966).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 24 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.22 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-222045-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
450 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
                    Numerous showers until 1200. Scattered
                    thunderstorms. Showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (162).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.80- 1.40 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers until
                    2400. Scattered thunderstorms. Numerous showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (84).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.46- 1.51 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (592).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-222045-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
450 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered showers until 1200. Scattered
                    thunderstorms. Showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (215).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.73- 1.30 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    numerous thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (100).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.77- 1.77 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 11 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (782).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.21 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-222045-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
450 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered showers until 1200. Scattered
                    thunderstorms. Showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (171).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.64- 1.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers until
                    2400. Scattered thunderstorms. Scattered
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (78).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.93- 2.06 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1109).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 27 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.25 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ELD