Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
623
FNUS53 KAPX 030928
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

...Showers and a few thunderstorms today...

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will swing across northern Michigan
today. Showers will become increasingly numerous today, and a few
thunderstorms are also expected. Gusty southwest winds develop
this morning, up to 30 mph. Winds become northwest by early
evening. West winds will be weaker Thursday, up to 20 mph, with a
relative lull in precipitation chances. But rain will be more
widespread again late Thursday night into Friday morning. Friday
will also be windier, with gusts of 30 to 35 mph.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-032015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter...except 26 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (457).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 0.90 in.
Chance of Thunder...37 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (86).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.24 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1153).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-032015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200, then rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (791).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.24- 0.59 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (58).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.37 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1274).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-032015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 HR Trend......41 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (382).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.36- 0.81 in.
Chance of Thunder...43 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....42-47...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (90).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.31 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent drier...except 23 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1168).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-032015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 HR Trend......39 percent wetter...except 25 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (420).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.34- 0.59 in.
Chance of Thunder...40 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.19 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......30 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1147).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-032015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1200, then rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (779).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.26- 0.62 in.
Chance of Thunder...36 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.40 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1282).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ