Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
496
FNUS53 KAPX 191842
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
242 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
...Dry Tomorrow; Next Rain Chances Friday into Saturday...
.DISCUSSION... Ongoing breezy NW winds will go on a downward trend
into the evening, with an inversion setting in by sunset and
stunting ongoing good mixing and ventilation, along with spiking
RHs. Much of the same tomorrow but with lighter west to northwest
winds. Anticipating mixing and ventilation to become good to
excellent by mid morning into the afternoon. Another dry day with
RHs dipping into the 30s for most, perhaps even upper 20s in the
afternoon across northeast lower. Lake Huron breeze looks to
force inland from east to west, which will lead to a flip to
easterly flow, coupled with increases in RH and perhaps stunting
mixing and ventilation processes. Next rain chances build late
Thursday night across the western half of northern lower...
spreading across the rest of the region Friday and Saturday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-200815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
242 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of fog
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (497).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the west around 9
mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after
midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (644).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-200815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
242 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 55-60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (418).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (710).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-200815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
242 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (418).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 65-70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after
midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (579).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-200815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
242 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (446).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the northwest in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the south around
9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (607).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-200815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
242 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Areas of fog
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (501).
Mixing Height.......7400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the northwest in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (765).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
HAD