Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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876
FNUS53 KAPX 011828
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
228 PM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025

...Dry Stretch Continues...

.DISCUSSION... Drier and warmer weather set to carry through the
upcoming weekend. Highs generally in the 70s and even some 80s at
times anticipated, with a dry southeast to southerly flow
prevailing. Fire danger will certainly be non-zero in the coming
days, especially as we head into the upcoming weekend when the
greatest overlap of warmth and breezy conditions builds. With
MinRHs largely failing to get below 30, not anticipating Red Flag
conditions... but when all the above is combined with drying /
decaying vegetation, certainly some risk for fire growth.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-020815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
228 PM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (314).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (556).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-020815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
228 PM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Fair (287).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (609).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-020815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
228 PM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (339).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........73-78 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent drier...except 12 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (619).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-020815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
228 PM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (360).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier...except 17 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 46-51 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (804).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-020815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
228 PM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (306).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (929).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

HAD