Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
001
FNUS53 KAPX 011944
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
244 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026
...Unseasonably Mild With Rain Chances...
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably mild conditions to continue through the middle portions
of this week, including on Monday with temperatures pushing
records. Moisture increases through the day on Monday, with rain
showers possible during the evening and overnight. Winds will be
from the southeast through the day on Monday, gusting 15 to 20 mph
at times with mixing heights 1.5kft near the shoreline to 3.5 kft
across the interior. Breezier conditions are anticipated on
Tuesday with shower chances continuing into mid week. Min humidity
will be quite high through much of this week.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-020945-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
244 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (393).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400, then rain showers.
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (99).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers
likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 60-65 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (389).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-020945-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
244 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (303).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400, then rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (68).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.18 in.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (371).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-020945-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
244 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 5 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (490).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
until 2400, then rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (121).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (420).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-020945-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
244 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (466).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400, then rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (126).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 6 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (454).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-020945-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
244 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (435).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400, then rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (117).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (440).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JLD