756
FNUS53 KAPX 270658
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...Periods of wet weather early this week...

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will cross northern Michigan today with
periods of numerous rain showers and perhaps some embedded
thunderstorms. Breezy west-northwest winds become the rule this
afternoon with lingering periods of rain into tonight as moisture
wraps around the departing system. Some scattered shower potential
continues Tuesday, along with occasionally breezy winds. No RH
concerns foreseen through midweek.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-272015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 1200, then rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......47 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (167).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.49- 1.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (114).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.29- 0.79 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....68-73...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......35 percent drier...except 24 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (620).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-272015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......44 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (180).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.61 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (138).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.88 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (718).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.17 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-272015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1200. Rain showers likely. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 HR Trend......44 percent wetter...except 36 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (194).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.35- 1.34 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (112).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.50 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (483).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-272015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (254).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.63 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (136).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.38 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (699).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-272015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 HR Trend......42 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (266).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.79 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (186).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.62 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......30 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (918).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.14 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MJG