Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
706
FNUS53 KAPX 171910
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
310 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
...Scattered Showers and Storms Return this Tuesday...
.DISCUSSION...Another round of scattered showers and storms are
expected to sweep across Michigans LP this Tuesday afternoon
through evening. While the majority of areas are expected to
received a quarter inch or less of rainfall, localized areas east
of I-75 could observe over an inch of QPF. High pressure returns
rain free weather through the midweek with highs in the upper
70s/low 80s with additional shower and storm chances this Friday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-180815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
310 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms until 1200, then scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (636).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain
showers. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.24 in.
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (898).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-180815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
310 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except around 61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered showers
and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 73-78 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (801).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...37 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 59-64 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.40 in.
Chance of Thunder...36 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (708).
Mixing Height.......7100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-180815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
310 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer...except 7 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after
midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (608).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Numerous rain
showers and scattered thunderstorms. Patchy fog
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler...except 8 degrees cooler near
the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
northeast around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.53 in.
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of fog
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (707).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-180815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
310 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 71-76 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (682).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Numerous rain
showers until 2400. Scattered thunderstorms.
Scattered rain showers after 2400. Patchy fog
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the north around
6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.45 in.
Chance of Thunder...41 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 21 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (736).
Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-180815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
310 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered showers
and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (899).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered rain
showers. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the north
around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...39 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (850).
Mixing Height.......8000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SJC