434
FNUS53 KAPX 011808
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
208 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...Isolated to scattered showers tonight...

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered showers are possible across
northern lower Michigan this evening through tonight, perhaps
lingering into Sunday morning for areas east of I-75. Otherwise,
increasing sunshine expected Sunday afternoon with high temperatures
back into the 70s area-wide. Generally light winds tonight through
Sunday will promote afternoon lake breeze development off of both
Lake Michigan and Huron. After this afternoon`s near-critical RHs,
excellent RH recovery is expected tonight and only bottoming out in
the 40-50% range Sunday afternoon.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-020815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
208 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 2400, then scattered rain
                    showers. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.24 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Isolated rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (252).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except 1 degree warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (513).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-020815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
208 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.25 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered rain showers until 1200Isolated
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (182).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.23 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (323).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-020815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
208 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 26 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in .

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (272).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 6 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (513).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-020815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
208 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer...except 1 degree warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 17 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.31 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (359).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (562).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-020815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
208 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers.
                    Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (67).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.24 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (287).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (466).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MJG