Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
121
FNUS53 KAPX 120810
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
410 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
...Light showers and increasing minimum RHs today...
.DISCUSSION...
Southwest winds will increase this morning with sustained 20 ft
winds of 7-12 mph and gusts 20-30 mph. Highest wind gusts are
anticipated across northwest Lower Michigan with less gusty
conditions expected across the Huron National Forest (up to around
25 mph). Winds of 7-12 mph, but less gusty, will turn to west and
then northwest later this afternoon and evening, eventually
weakening to around 5 mph or less overnight. A few showers will
also be possible this afternoon/ evening, but any rain is expected
to be brief and light, with most areas potentially staying rain-
free. Minimum RHs look to stay between 50-60 percent through the
weekend.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-122015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
410 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (803).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 59-64 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (901).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-122015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
410 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 71-76 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (890).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 59-64 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (829).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-122015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
410 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (687).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (884).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-122015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
410 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter...except 33 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (702).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
north after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 20 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (805).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-122015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
410 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (929).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (806).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
NSC