543
FNUS53 KAPX 141850
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
250 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

...Drier and cooler air for mid week...

.DISCUSSION...

A cooler and drier airmass will settle for the middle part of the
work week. Chances for brief light rain tonight over NW lower
with no chances for wetting rains. Winds remain generally north
and light with afternoon breezes tomorrow. Min RH values will dip
into the 30s and 40s tomorrow and Thursday. Winds turn south
Thursday as the next system approaches, returning rain chances to
the area for late Thursday into Friday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-150830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
250 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (258).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (169).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the south around
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-150830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
250 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....40-45...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (305).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....34-39...except 45-50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (141).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 3 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-150830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
250 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....41-46...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (64).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (263).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....33-38...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (229).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-150830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
250 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (84).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (311).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....32-37...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (246).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-150830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
250 PM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (336).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....33-38.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (171).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

ELD